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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
Together with the weigh-ins finish, TJ looks sharp and has shown himself well prepared for the 125lb division. On the feet he ought to have an important advantage over Cejudo. The length of TJ, together with his unorthodox fashion, will let him land severe volume contrary to the limited wrestler. Furthermore leg kicks are a deadly option against front hefty karate stance. Cejudo will probably be needing takedowns and significant top control if he’s to acquire any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has outstanding wrestling himself as well as an arguably more harmful grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should limit Cejudo’s chances to take and on the ground he is going to be hard to control for extended periods. Overall the road to success looks slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is a proven finisher who conveys good aerobic and far superior volume to acquire more than 5 rounds. The bet is TJ Dillashaw to function as dual champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both these fighters have some defects to their game but stylistically this is a winnable fight for the underdog. On the feet Vanzant is more pliable but likely faster with more volume. Ostovich has a simpler style but neither fighter is likely to land substantial damage here. The strength and size of Ostovich will probably be a significant advantage on the ground where the two girls have a tendency to attract the fight. Vanzant is stubborn but requires insecure choices and leaves a lot of openings for opponents. Ostovich can capitalise here and her exceptional control means she will spend a great deal more time on shirt or at dominant positions. Anticipate a back and forth fight where we get excellent value about the underdog chances.
Bet = Ostovich in 2.35 (+135) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski that the»Violence Queen» is making her debut following an impressive run as the KSW winner. Matching up with Calderwood she’s the advantage in most regions. The aggression and power of Lipski’s combos at the pocket will probably be overpowering for Calderwood who lacks speed and head movement. This fight is most likely to perform out on the toes but even on the mat it is Lipski with the better abilities. Calderwood is coming from a»lucky» submission win in a fight where she was having a great deal of trouble. Over her career she’s been know to battle with adversity during fights and look for a way out. Lipski though appears to be very durable and fights with heart. In 24 years old she also will be revealing huge improvements between fights.
Bet = Lipski at 1.53 (-188) odds. Risk 5 Units to acquire 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs for an unlikely matchup against an increasing prospect. Hernandez brings a style which is proven against Cowboy with his rapid start and constant pressure. Whether this battle goes the distance it will be Hernandez pushing the pace, holding Cerrone against the fence and securing takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best way to victory is snatching a submission off his back but that is a little probability against a strong wrestler. The power, athleticism, youth and style of Hernandez is going to be a lot for the veteran to manage with only 3 rounds to work with. Cerrone is typically a slow starter as well as the fall back to 155lb is not likely to help his durability problems.
Bet = Hernandez at 1.54 (-185) odds. Risk 4 Units to win 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
That is a rematch fight from the first back in 2014, which Benavidez won through conclusion. Today it is Ortiz that has shown the most improvements in his game, now riding an impressive win streak. Benavidez remains a top contender but does look like he’s slightly declining in his current appearances. For example an underdog Ortiz has a couple of avenues to success. He will be at a disadvantage on the feet in terms of volume, but packs substantial power. Benavidez has been wobbled always in recent fights suggesting his strength is evaporating. Furthermore the 34 year old will slow down later in the fight since Ortiz brings a relentless grinding speed. This should be a close fight that seems to be lined overly broad.
Bet = Ortiz in 3.05 (+205) chances. Risk 2 Units to win 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is moving up as a late replacement to undertake the tough veteran Glover. On the feet the disparity is broad. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed considerably to his later years and together with his durability evaporating his lack of head motion is evident. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) isn’t famous for his striking yet discovered enormous victory himself on the feet in his last fight against Glover. The clear dilemma for Roberson is that his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he must be improving here as a young prospect. Glover may find some takedowns but if he does not get an early entry it will be challenging to keep up with the younger, quicker and more athletic Roberson. Additionally if he can’t get it into the mat his options seem bleak. As an underdog, Roberson looks a solid bet.
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