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LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators equally come into this Saturdays game with announcement successes.
LSU moved to Texas and defeat against the Longhorns in week 2. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp last weekend. But during this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams look to take over a spot in the race .
The defense of florida leads the way in their opinion. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a stage in the 4th quarter since their opener. As he went 11 for 27 with three INTs into creating decisions that were several last week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
But Joe Burrow is not Nix. He is a veteran quarterback and has led LSU to the greatest launch in SEC history. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in school football. This includes the 45 they dumped on the street on Texas.
Together with the roar of Death Valley anticipating that the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs on BetNow. Would the No. cover the spread and 5 grading shield keep this near? Or will also the No. 2 passing crime as well as Burrow keep rolling and likewise win the wager? Heres the breakdown.
Theres hardly any doubt in Burrows skill . He has transformed to a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd at the FBS).
He is also working with a few of the very best receiving groups in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has good length with his 63 frame and has mastered in some big games. Chase is an actual presence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced target who will fill the spot. Its all part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
They will face by far the DB unit theyve played . Northwestern State is a FCS team, but here would be the yards-per-attempt composed by the other competitions of LSU: Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, Vanderbilt 128th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Florida sits at 33rd, although its safe to say theyve yet to play a QB of all Burrows caliber. They have played two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American whos living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis creates a huge amount of havoc at the secondary (111 yards on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but still has a ceiling.
Burrow will also face a, which will be completely healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami on the introductory week. Jabari Zuniga, considered to be their coming into this year, is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) on the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate on their o-line will be tested.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
Even though his awareness have to enhance in the pocket, he has to get flustered by an opposing lineup. Auburns according ranks 11th in defensive line yards, and is arguably the very best in the nation to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st in LY and can be 85th in bag rate. They will rely upon blitzing LBs to help throw Trask. The Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not mobile out of it. He also sprained a knee in the last match and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
With all the LBs more involved in the pass-rush, All-American security Grant Delpit needs to come up big in coverage. He likely will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dash) is imperative to LSUs victory on D.
LSU—such as Floridas secondary—is considered DBU for the gift they possess on the outside of their own defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him on the All-Freshman team, or even longer, in 2019.
Would be Kristian Fulton, who let the least amount of downs this past year out of returning FBS corners. Although this group is presently 69th in passing yards allowed per-game, itll be a force if given a chance against a pressured Trask.
Balance is going to be crucial as for Florida, who has not got their running game going however. A tackle broke at the point on his way into a 88-yard TD run . Even with that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also will be going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy achievement (short-yardage situations).
Even though the LSU front may not be potent. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the ground, and thats like Perines long run and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which shut out the Kentucky game.
When they dont buy Perine or Dameon Pierce going it puts ways stress on Trask at a hostile atmosphere.
Florida has earned respect after last week from the college football world. And while I dont expect them to come out at Death Valley, I really do see this game remaining many.
LSUs offense made incredible strides, and Burrow is one of the QBs from the FBS. However, LSU is not likely to put up 45 or anything close to that. Their pass-rush has completely developed with Greenard wreaking havoc.
The Gators defense will work out over time, as they far too much to alter the wave in games have been relied upon by the staff. Marco Wilson is going to be the subject against the Chase or Jefferson into a PIs.
But I dont anticipate this before late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the game in a lot of a slog till afterward makes Florida the bet on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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